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CASE STUDY
D2C · Supplements
Unit economics · Channel profitability

D2C Health: $2.4M of Additional Annual Contribution Profit on 19% Less Ad Spend

Direct-to-consumer supplements · $8.2M revenue · 24 months old at engagement
Contribution profit
3.4×
Media spend
−19%
Revenue
+43.5%
CAC payback
9 → 5 mo

Background

Alderleaf Nutrition sold supplement products direct to consumer, with a $62 average order value and the repeat purchasing typical of the replenishment category. By the end of its second year the company had reached $8.2M in trailing-twelve-month net revenue, growing 127% year over year across four paid channels — Meta, Google Search, TikTok and an affiliate program — supported by an email channel working an existing list.

The company was preparing for a Series A. The metric at the center of the fundraising narrative was an LTV:CAC ratio of 4.5:1, produced by the marketing dashboard and reproduced in the draft deck.

The situation

The 4.5:1 figure rested on two measurement conventions, both common. Lifetime value was calculated on net revenue — before deducting product cost, shipping, payment processing and returns. Acquisition cost was media spend only, divided by all new customers, including those from the near-free email channel.

Recomputed on the same raw data — contribution margin per order, against fully loaded acquisition cost divided by paid customers only — the ratio was 1.4:1.

ChannelCM-LTV (24m)Loaded CACRatio
Google Search$108$522.08
Meta$98$601.64
TikTok$73$770.95
Affiliate$41$440.93

Two of four channels sat below break-even at full customer lifetime. The affiliate result had a specific mechanism: coupon-site partners stacked a 28% average discount onto customers who repurchased at roughly 40% of the normal rate. About a third of the media budget was generating negative contribution at prevailing volumes.

The intervention

  1. 01Ended coupon-site affiliate relationships (~75% of affiliate spend) and closed the associated discount-code leakage; retained content affiliates on clean CPA terms.
  2. 02Reduced TikTok to a limited test budget pending economics that cleared an internal threshold.
  3. 03Reallocated toward Google Search, held Meta flat behind a creative refresh; total media spend down 19% year over year.
  4. 04Tightened promotional discounting from 13.9% to 10.2% of gross revenue.
  5. 05Renegotiated third-party fulfillment from $8.90 to $8.10 per order using per-order cost data assembled during the analysis.
  6. 06Launched a subscription program, lifting repeat purchasing on new cohorts by ~12%.
  7. 07Reduced agency scope from 12% to 8% of media; reporting moved to a standing weekly basis in-house.

Results — twelve months following

$8.21M$11.79MNet revenue$2.30M$1.87MMedia spend$0.97M$3.33MContribution profitGREY = YEAR 2   DARK/RED = YEAR 3
Trailing-twelve-month totals, year 2 vs year 3.
$-50K$138K$327KContribution profit / month ($K)m1m12m24m30m36
Monthly contribution profit after marketing spend, months 1–36. The program began in month 25.

Of the 16-point improvement in post-marketing contribution margin, roughly 5 points came from operating improvements — discount policy, fulfillment cost, returns — and the remainder from removing contribution-negative spend while the repeat base compounded.

Payback proved as commercially significant as the ratio: a dollar of acquisition spend returned as contribution profit within five months and could be redeployed roughly 2.4 times a year, shifting the constraint on growth from unit economics to capital availability.

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